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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lazio vs Cagliari 100,000 times. Lazio won 64,758 of them (64.8%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Cagliari won 14.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.3%), and both teams score in 50.3% of simulations.
| Lazio win | 64.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Cagliari win | 14.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.07 – 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 50.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.7% |
| Lazio score first | 67% |
| Cagliari score first | 27.2% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 42.5% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 13% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Inter
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Torino
1.9–1.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Genoa
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Napoli
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1.6–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669123 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lazio are favourites. They win 64.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 14.6% for Cagliari. Including the draw, Lazio avoid defeat 85.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.9%) and 1-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.3% of simulations. Lazio keep a clean sheet 42.5% of the time and Cagliari 13%.
The simulations average 2.93 goals: 2.07 for Lazio and 0.86 for Cagliari. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.8% and over 3.5 goals 33.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.