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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lecce vs Genoa 100,000 times. Genoa won 37,290 of them (37.3%), the draw came up 31.2% of the time and Lecce won 31.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.5%, while the likeliest Genoa win is 0-1 (10.5%). Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.
| Lecce win | 31.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.2% |
| Genoa win | 37.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.6% |
| Lecce score first | 39.3% |
| Genoa score first | 48.8% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 29.9% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 33.6% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Inter
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Torino
1.9–1.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Cagliari
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Napoli
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1.6–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420668911 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Genoa are favourites. They win 37.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.2% for the draw and 31.5% for Lecce. Including the draw, Genoa avoid defeat 68.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.6%) and 0-1 (10.5%). The likeliest Genoa win is 0-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Lecce keep a clean sheet 29.9% of the time and Genoa 33.6%.
The simulations average 2.32 goals: 1.10 for Lecce and 1.22 for Genoa. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.8% and over 3.5 goals 20.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.