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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town 100,000 times. Accrington Stanley won 48,728 of them (48.7%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Northampton Town won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (11.3%). Both teams score in 49.7% of simulations.
| Accrington Stanley win | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Northampton Town win | 23.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 49.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 24.6% |
| Accrington Stanley score first | 55.3% |
| Northampton Town score first | 35.4% |
| Accrington Stanley clean sheet | 37.7% |
| Northampton Town clean sheet | 22.1% |
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
York City
1.7–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.8–0.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Exeter City
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Crawley Town
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646825 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Accrington Stanley are favourites. They win 48.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 23.3% for Northampton Town. Including the draw, Accrington Stanley avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11.3%) and 0-0 (9.5%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 (11.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.7% of simulations. Accrington Stanley keep a clean sheet 37.7% of the time and Northampton Town 22.1%.
The simulations average 2.51 goals: 1.53 for Accrington Stanley and 0.98 for Northampton Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 45.8% and over 3.5 goals 24.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.