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Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

We simulated ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 100,000 times. Sparta Rotterdam won 37,620 of them (37.6%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and ADO Den Haag won 37%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 (8.1%). Both teams score in 66.8% of simulations.

ADO Den Haag badge
ADO Den Haag WerkTalent Stadion
Saturday 7 November
Sparta Rotterdam badge
Sparta Rotterdam Away
37% 36,998 wins
25.4% Draw
37.6% 37,620 wins
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.68
Likeliest score
1-1 11.1% Top Sparta win: 1-2 8.1%
Both score
66.8%
Over 2.5
64.8%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Alex Bos WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam lineups, team news & head to head

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 7 November, 17:45

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam simulation probabilities
ADO Den Haag win37%
Draw25.4%
Sparta Rotterdam win37.6%
Most likely score1-1 (11.1%)
Expected goals1.67 – 1.68
Both teams to score66.8%
Over 1.5 goals85.7%
Over 2.5 goals64.8%
Over 3.5 goals43%
ADO Den Haag score first46.4%
Sparta Rotterdam score first48.6%
ADO Den Haag clean sheet19%
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet19.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609701
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction FAQs

Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Sparta Rotterdam are favourites. They win 37.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 37% for ADO Den Haag. Including the draw, Sparta Rotterdam avoid defeat 63% of the time.

What is the most likely score in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win is 1-2 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Both teams score in 66.8% of simulations. ADO Den Haag keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Sparta Rotterdam 19.3%.

How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The simulations average 3.35 goals: 1.67 for ADO Den Haag and 1.68 for Sparta Rotterdam. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.8% and over 3.5 goals 43%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.