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1H Goals Model Update Live
2 Nov 2026
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SC Heerenveen vs Feyenoord 100,000 times. Feyenoord won 49,996 of them (50%), the draw came up 23.2% of the time and SC Heerenveen won 26.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.2%, while the likeliest Feyenoord win is 1-2 (9.2%). Both teams score in 63.9% of simulations.
| SC Heerenveen win | 26.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.2% |
| Feyenoord win | 50% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.37 – 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 63.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.1% |
| SC Heerenveen score first | 37% |
| Feyenoord score first | 58.5% |
| SC Heerenveen clean sheet | 14.9% |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 25.7% |
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1.6–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
1.5–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
Ajax
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
FC Groningen
2.2–1.2
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
PSV
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1.6–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609710 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Feyenoord are favourites. They win 50% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.2% for the draw and 26.8% for SC Heerenveen. Including the draw, Feyenoord avoid defeat 73.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.2% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Feyenoord win is 1-2 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.9% of simulations. SC Heerenveen keep a clean sheet 14.9% of the time and Feyenoord 25.7%.
The simulations average 3.31 goals: 1.37 for SC Heerenveen and 1.94 for Feyenoord. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.9% and over 3.5 goals 42.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.