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We simulated Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 100,000 times. PEC Zwolle won 44,305 of them (44.3%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Willem II won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.
| Willem II win | 31.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| PEC Zwolle win | 44.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 1.73 |
| Both teams to score | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.5% |
| Willem II score first | 44% |
| PEC Zwolle score first | 50.7% |
| Willem II clean sheet | 18.2% |
| PEC Zwolle clean sheet | 24.6% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609665 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
PEC Zwolle are favourites. They win 44.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 31.2% for Willem II. Including the draw, PEC Zwolle avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Willem II keep a clean sheet 18.2% of the time and PEC Zwolle 24.6%.
The simulations average 3.15 goals: 1.42 for Willem II and 1.73 for PEC Zwolle. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.6% and over 3.5 goals 38.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.