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Netherlands Eredivisie · 100,000 simulations

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction

We simulated Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 100,000 times. PEC Zwolle won 44,305 of them (44.3%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Willem II won 31.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 1-2 (8.9%). Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations.

Willem II badge
Willem II Koning Willem II Stadion
Tomorrow
PEC Zwolle badge
PEC Zwolle Away
31.2% 31,199 wins
24.5% Draw
44.3% 44,305 wins
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.73
Likeliest score
1-1 11.1% Top PEC Zwolle win: 1-2 8.9%
Both score
62.3%
Over 2.5
60.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Allard Lindhout Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle lineups, team news & head to head

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle in numbers 100,000 simulations · Netherlands Eredivisie · Tomorrow, 19:00

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle simulation probabilities
Willem II win31.2%
Draw24.5%
PEC Zwolle win44.3%
Most likely score1-1 (11.1%)
Expected goals1.42 – 1.73
Both teams to score62.3%
Over 1.5 goals82.4%
Over 2.5 goals60.6%
Over 3.5 goals38.5%
Willem II score first44%
PEC Zwolle score first50.7%
Willem II clean sheet18.2%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet24.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420609665
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction FAQs

Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?

PEC Zwolle are favourites. They win 44.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 31.2% for Willem II. Including the draw, PEC Zwolle avoid defeat 68.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?

1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.9%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win is 1-2 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?

Both teams score in 62.3% of simulations. Willem II keep a clean sheet 18.2% of the time and PEC Zwolle 24.6%.

How many goals will there be in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?

The simulations average 3.15 goals: 1.42 for Willem II and 1.73 for PEC Zwolle. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.6% and over 3.5 goals 38.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.