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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar 100,000 times. Fortuna Sittard won 42,641 of them (42.6%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Telstar won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| Fortuna Sittard win | 42.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Telstar win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.8% |
| Fortuna Sittard score first | 54.3% |
| Telstar score first | 38.8% |
| Fortuna Sittard clean sheet | 26.9% |
| Telstar clean sheet | 20.5% |
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
1.5–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
Feyenoord
1.4–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
Ajax
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
FC Groningen
2.2–1.2
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
PSV
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1.6–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609692 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fortuna Sittard are favourites. They win 42.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 30.6% for Telstar. Including the draw, Fortuna Sittard avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet 26.9% of the time and Telstar 20.5%.
The simulations average 2.93 goals: 1.60 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.33 for Telstar. Over 1.5 goals lands 80% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.9% and over 3.5 goals 33.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.