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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen 100,000 times. AZ Alkmaar won 58,409 of them (58.4%), the draw came up 21.2% of the time and FC Groningen won 20.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.5%), and both teams score in 61.9% of simulations.
| AZ Alkmaar win | 58.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.2% |
| FC Groningen win | 20.4% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.16 – 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | 61.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar score first | 57.5% |
| FC Groningen score first | 38.4% |
| AZ Alkmaar clean sheet | 30.3% |
| FC Groningen clean sheet | 12% |
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1.6–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
1.5–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
Feyenoord
1.4–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
FC Twente
Ajax
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
PSV
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1.6–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609663 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
AZ Alkmaar are favourites. They win 58.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 21.2% for the draw and 20.4% for FC Groningen. Including the draw, AZ Alkmaar avoid defeat 79.6% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.9% of simulations. AZ Alkmaar keep a clean sheet 30.3% of the time and FC Groningen 12%.
The simulations average 3.37 goals: 2.16 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.21 for FC Groningen. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65% and over 3.5 goals 43.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.