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1H Goals Model Update Live
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Twente vs Ajax 100,000 times. FC Twente won 39,650 of them (39.7%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Ajax won 35.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest FC Twente win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations.
| FC Twente win | 39.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Ajax win | 35.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.71 – 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 65.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% |
| FC Twente score first | 47.2% |
| Ajax score first | 48.2% |
| FC Twente clean sheet | 20.4% |
| Ajax clean sheet | 18.5% |
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
1.4–1.7
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar
1.6–1.3
xG
56%
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
1.5–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
SC Heerenveen
Feyenoord
1.4–1.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
FC Groningen
2.2–1.2
xG
65%
Over 2.5
SC Cambuur
PSV
1.3–2.5
xG
73%
Over 2.5
FC Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
1.6–1.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420609856 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Twente are favourites. They win 39.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 35.4% for Ajax. Including the draw, FC Twente avoid defeat 64.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest FC Twente win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations. FC Twente keep a clean sheet 20.4% of the time and Ajax 18.5%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 1.71 for FC Twente and 1.61 for Ajax. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.