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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atalanta vs Parma 100,000 times. Atalanta won 65,899 of them (65.9%), the draw came up 19.5% of the time and Parma won 14.7%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.3%), and both teams score in 54.2% of simulations.
| Atalanta win | 65.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.5% |
| Parma win | 14.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.23 – 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 54.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Atalanta score first | 70.8% |
| Parma score first | 24.5% |
| Atalanta clean sheet | 39.2% |
| Parma clean sheet | 11.2% |
Bologna
Monza
1.8–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Udinese
Roma
0.9–2.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
AC Milan
Inter
1.3–1.8
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Como
Venezia
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Frosinone
Torino
1.9–1.6
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Lazio
Cagliari
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Lecce
Genoa
1.1–1.2
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Juventus
Napoli
1.5–1.2
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420669107 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atalanta are favourites. They win 65.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.5% for the draw and 14.7% for Parma. Including the draw, Atalanta avoid defeat 85.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.2% of simulations. Atalanta keep a clean sheet 39.2% of the time and Parma 11.2%.
The simulations average 3.17 goals: 2.23 for Atalanta and 0.94 for Parma. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61% and over 3.5 goals 39%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.