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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central 100,000 times. Atlético Tucumán won 48,375 of them (48.4%), the draw came up 33.1% of the time and Barracas Central won 18.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (17.7%), and both teams score in 34.1% of simulations.
Full time 2-3. Before kick-off the simulations had Barracas Central winning 18.5%. This exact score was outside the 15 likeliest.
| Atlético Tucumán win | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 33.1% |
| Barracas Central win | 18.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (17.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 0.64 |
| Both teams to score | 34.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 11.8% |
| Atlético Tucumán score first | 53.2% |
| Barracas Central score first | 29.2% |
| Atlético Tucumán clean sheet | 52.9% |
| Barracas Central clean sheet | 30.3% |
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.3–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.4–0.7
xG
33%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Platense
1.1–1.1
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.1
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Sarmiento
1.6–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.3–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Independiente Rivadavia
1.1–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490417 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético Tucumán are favourites. They win 48.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 33.1% for the draw and 18.5% for Barracas Central. Including the draw, Atlético Tucumán avoid defeat 81.5% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 17.7% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (17.3%) and 1-1 (13.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 34.1% of simulations. Atlético Tucumán keep a clean sheet 52.9% of the time and Barracas Central 30.3%.
The simulations average 1.85 goals: 1.21 for Atlético Tucumán and 0.64 for Barracas Central. Over 1.5 goals lands 56.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 28.2% and over 3.5 goals 11.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.