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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Tigre vs Sarmiento 100,000 times. Tigre won 53,114 of them (53.1%), the draw came up 27.3% of the time and Sarmiento won 19.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.2%), and both teams score in 45.6% of simulations.
| Tigre win | 53.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.3% |
| Sarmiento win | 19.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 45.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.3% |
| Tigre score first | 56.5% |
| Sarmiento score first | 33.3% |
| Tigre clean sheet | 43.2% |
| Sarmiento clean sheet | 21.4% |
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.3–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.4–0.7
xG
34%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Platense
1.1–1.1
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.1
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.2–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Independiente Rivadavia
1.2–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
2.0–0.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490427 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tigre are favourites. They win 53.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.3% for the draw and 19.6% for Sarmiento. Including the draw, Tigre avoid defeat 80.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.7%) and 2-0 (10.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.6% of simulations. Tigre keep a clean sheet 43.2% of the time and Sarmiento 21.4%.
The simulations average 2.40 goals: 1.56 for Tigre and 0.85 for Sarmiento. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 43.1% and over 3.5 goals 22.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.