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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Independiente Rivadavia 100,000 times. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza won 34,310 of them (34.3%), the draw came up 31.5% of the time and Independiente Rivadavia won 34.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.7%, while the likeliest Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win is 1-0 (9.4%). Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations.
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win | 34.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.5% |
| Independiente Rivadavia win | 34.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 49.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.3% |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza score first | 45.9% |
| Independiente Rivadavia score first | 42.5% |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza clean sheet | 31.2% |
| Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet | 31.1% |
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.3–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.4–0.7
xG
34%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Platense
1.1–1.1
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.1
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Sarmiento
1.6–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.2–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
2.0–0.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490458 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza are favourites. They win 34.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.5% for the draw and 34.2% for Independiente Rivadavia. Including the draw, Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza avoid defeat 65.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.7% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.5%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza win is 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.3% of simulations. Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza keep a clean sheet 31.2% of the time and Independiente Rivadavia 31.1%.
The simulations average 2.36 goals: 1.18 for Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza and 1.18 for Independiente Rivadavia. Over 1.5 goals lands 69.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.8% and over 3.5 goals 21.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.