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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated San Lorenzo vs Platense 100,000 times. Platense won 34,118 of them (34.1%), the draw came up 32.4% of the time and San Lorenzo won 33.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.6%, while the likeliest Platense win is 0-1 (11.4%). Both teams score in 43.9% of simulations.
| San Lorenzo win | 33.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32.4% |
| Platense win | 34.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.06 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 43.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.9% |
| San Lorenzo score first | 41.4% |
| Platense score first | 44.7% |
| San Lorenzo clean sheet | 34.6% |
| Platense clean sheet | 35% |
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.3–1.0
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.4–0.7
xG
34%
Over 2.5
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.1
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Sarmiento
1.6–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.2–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Independiente Rivadavia
1.2–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Boca Juniors
Defensa y Justicia
2.0–0.7
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490457 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Platense are favourites. They win 34.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 32.4% for the draw and 33.5% for San Lorenzo. Including the draw, Platense avoid defeat 66.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.6% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (13.5%) and 0-1 (11.4%). The likeliest Platense win is 0-1 (11.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.9% of simulations. San Lorenzo keep a clean sheet 34.6% of the time and Platense 35%.
The simulations average 2.13 goals: 1.06 for San Lorenzo and 1.07 for Platense. Over 1.5 goals lands 63.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 35.8% and over 3.5 goals 16.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.