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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Auxerre vs Paris 100,000 times. Paris won 48,239 of them (48.2%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Auxerre won 26.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest Paris win is 0-1 (9.4%). Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Auxerre win | 26.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Paris win | 48.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.18 – 1.67 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Auxerre score first | 35.7% |
| Paris score first | 57.9% |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 19.3% |
| Paris clean sheet | 31% |
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Troyes
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Rennes
LOSC Lille
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Mans
Monaco
1.2–1.7
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Brest
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Lorient
1.2–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Nice
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lens
Olympique Marseille
1.9–1.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660780 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Paris are favourites. They win 48.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 26.9% for Auxerre. Including the draw, Paris avoid defeat 73.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest Paris win is 0-1 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Auxerre keep a clean sheet 19.3% of the time and Paris 31%.
The simulations average 2.85 goals: 1.18 for Auxerre and 1.67 for Paris. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54% and over 3.5 goals 32%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.