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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Le Mans vs Monaco 100,000 times. Monaco won 48,453 of them (48.5%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Le Mans won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Monaco win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
| Le Mans win | 27.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Monaco win | 48.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.24 – 1.72 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.5% |
| Le Mans score first | 41.5% |
| Monaco score first | 53% |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 18.3% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 29.3% |
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Paris
1.2–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Troyes
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Rennes
LOSC Lille
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Brest
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Lorient
1.2–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Nice
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lens
Olympique Marseille
1.9–1.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660789 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Monaco are favourites. They win 48.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 27.6% for Le Mans. Including the draw, Monaco avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Monaco win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58% of simulations. Le Mans keep a clean sheet 18.3% of the time and Monaco 29.3%.
The simulations average 2.96 goals: 1.24 for Le Mans and 1.72 for Monaco. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.6% and over 3.5 goals 34.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.