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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Le Havre vs Lorient 100,000 times. Lorient won 36,906 of them (36.9%), the draw came up 29.5% of the time and Le Havre won 33.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.9%, while the likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (9.8%). Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations.
| Le Havre win | 33.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.5% |
| Lorient win | 36.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.19 – 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 50.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 23.2% |
| Le Havre score first | 41.3% |
| Lorient score first | 48.7% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 28.8% |
| Lorient clean sheet | 30.8% |
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Paris
1.2–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Troyes
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Rennes
LOSC Lille
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Mans
Monaco
1.2–1.7
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Brest
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Nice
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lens
Olympique Marseille
1.9–1.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660799 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lorient are favourites. They win 36.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.5% for the draw and 33.6% for Le Havre. Including the draw, Lorient avoid defeat 66.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50.4% of simulations. Le Havre keep a clean sheet 28.8% of the time and Lorient 30.8%.
The simulations average 2.45 goals: 1.19 for Le Havre and 1.26 for Lorient. Over 1.5 goals lands 71% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.1% and over 3.5 goals 23.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.