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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Lens vs Olympique Marseille 100,000 times. Lens won 48,382 of them (48.4%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Olympique Marseille won 27.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations.
| Lens win | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Olympique Marseille win | 27.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.89 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.7% |
| Lens score first | 55.8% |
| Olympique Marseille score first | 39.4% |
| Lens clean sheet | 25.2% |
| Olympique Marseille clean sheet | 15.5% |
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Paris
1.2–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Troyes
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Rennes
LOSC Lille
1.9–1.2
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Le Mans
Monaco
1.2–1.7
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Brest
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Lorient
1.2–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Nice
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660665 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lens are favourites. They win 48.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 27.8% for Olympique Marseille. Including the draw, Lens avoid defeat 72.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.1% of simulations. Lens keep a clean sheet 25.2% of the time and Olympique Marseille 15.5%.
The simulations average 3.29 goals: 1.89 for Lens and 1.40 for Olympique Marseille. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63.5% and over 3.5 goals 41.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.