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  1. Simulations
  2. Ligue 1
  3. Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes
Ligue 1 · 100,000 simulations

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes prediction

We simulated Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes 100,000 times. Paris Saint Germain won 81,313 of them (81.3%), the draw came up 11.7% of the time and Troyes won 6.9%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.5%), and both teams score in 46.9% of simulations.

Paris Saint Germain badge
Paris Saint Germain Parc des Princes
Saturday 7 November
Troyes badge
Troyes Away
81.3% 81,313 wins
11.7% Draw
6.9% 6,944 wins
Expected goals
2.86 – 0.70
Likeliest score
2-0 11.5%
Both score
46.9%
Over 2.5
68.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Parc des Princes, Paris
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes lineups, team news & head to head

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes in numbers 100,000 simulations · Ligue 1 · Saturday 7 November, 19:45

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes simulation probabilities
Paris Saint Germain win81.3%
Draw11.7%
Troyes win6.9%
Most likely score2-0 (11.5%)
Expected goals2.86 – 0.70
Both teams to score46.9%
Over 1.5 goals86.3%
Over 2.5 goals68.6%
Over 3.5 goals47.5%
Paris Saint Germain score first73.4%
Troyes score first24%
Paris Saint Germain clean sheet49.7%
Troyes clean sheet6.1%

More Ligue 1 simulations

Toulouse Strasbourg 1.8–1.3 xG 59% Over 2.5 Auxerre Paris 1.2–1.7 xG 54% Over 2.5 Rennes LOSC Lille 1.9–1.2 xG 59% Over 2.5 Le Mans Monaco 1.2–1.7 xG 57% Over 2.5 Brest Olympique Lyonnais 1.4–1.4 xG 54% Over 2.5 Le Havre Lorient 1.2–1.3 xG 44% Over 2.5 Angers SCO Nice 1.3–1.6 xG 54% Over 2.5 Lens Olympique Marseille 1.9–1.4 xG 64% Over 2.5
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420660876
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes prediction FAQs

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites. They win 81.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.7% for the draw and 6.9% for Troyes. Including the draw, Paris Saint Germain avoid defeat 93.1% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

2-0, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

Both teams score in 46.9% of simulations. Paris Saint Germain keep a clean sheet 49.7% of the time and Troyes 6.1%.

How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?

The simulations average 3.56 goals: 2.86 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.70 for Troyes. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.6% and over 3.5 goals 47.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.