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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Rennes vs LOSC Lille 100,000 times. Rennes won 50,890 of them (50.9%), the draw came up 24.7% of the time and LOSC Lille won 24.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.4%, while the likeliest Rennes win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations.
| Rennes win | 50.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.7% |
| LOSC Lille win | 24.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 60.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.1% |
| Rennes score first | 57.6% |
| LOSC Lille score first | 36.6% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 29.6% |
| LOSC Lille clean sheet | 16.1% |
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Auxerre
Paris
1.2–1.7
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain
Troyes
2.9–0.7
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Le Mans
Monaco
1.2–1.7
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Brest
Olympique Lyonnais
1.4–1.4
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Le Havre
Lorient
1.2–1.3
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Angers SCO
Nice
1.3–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Lens
Olympique Marseille
1.9–1.4
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420660798 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rennes are favourites. They win 50.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.7% for the draw and 24.4% for LOSC Lille. Including the draw, Rennes avoid defeat 75.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Rennes win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.1% of simulations. Rennes keep a clean sheet 29.6% of the time and LOSC Lille 16.1%.
The simulations average 3.08 goals: 1.85 for Rennes and 1.23 for LOSC Lille. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.2% and over 3.5 goals 37.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.