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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Defensa y Justicia vs Instituto 100,000 times. Defensa y Justicia won 40,138 of them (40.1%), the draw came up 31.5% of the time and Instituto won 28.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.7%, while the likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 1-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
Full time 0-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Instituto winning 28.3% and gave this exact score 8.5%.
| Defensa y Justicia win | 40.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.5% |
| Instituto win | 28.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.5% |
| Defensa y Justicia score first | 49.8% |
| Instituto score first | 38.6% |
| Defensa y Justicia clean sheet | 35.8% |
| Instituto clean sheet | 28.2% |
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1.3–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Vélez Sarsfield
1.4–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1.4–0.6
xG
33%
Over 2.5
San Lorenzo
Platense
1.1–1.1
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Banfield
Atlético Tucumán
1.3–1.1
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Sarmiento
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Talleres Córdoba
Estudiantes
1.2–1.2
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Independiente Rivadavia
1.1–1.2
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490396 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Defensa y Justicia are favourites. They win 40.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.5% for the draw and 28.3% for Instituto. Including the draw, Defensa y Justicia avoid defeat 71.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.7% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.8%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 1-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Defensa y Justicia keep a clean sheet 35.8% of the time and Instituto 28.2%.
The simulations average 2.32 goals: 1.28 for Defensa y Justicia and 1.04 for Instituto. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 40.7% and over 3.5 goals 20.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.