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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers 100,000 times. FC Tokyo won 50,977 of them (51%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Kashima Antlers won 24.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.6%, while the likeliest FC Tokyo win is 2-1 (9.5%). Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations.
| FC Tokyo win | 51% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Kashima Antlers win | 24.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.79 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 57.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.5% |
| FC Tokyo score first | 55.1% |
| Kashima Antlers score first | 38.7% |
| FC Tokyo clean sheet | 31.3% |
| Kashima Antlers clean sheet | 17% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
1.2–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
1.6–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1.8–1.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605588 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Tokyo are favourites. They win 51% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 24.2% for Kashima Antlers. Including the draw, FC Tokyo avoid defeat 75.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win is 2-1 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations. FC Tokyo keep a clean sheet 31.3% of the time and Kashima Antlers 17%.
The simulations average 2.97 goals: 1.79 for FC Tokyo and 1.17 for Kashima Antlers. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.7% and over 3.5 goals 34.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.