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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale 100,000 times. Kashiwa Reysol won 45,342 of them (45.3%), the draw came up 24.1% of the time and Kawasaki Frontale won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 65.1% of simulations.
| Kashiwa Reysol win | 45.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.1% |
| Kawasaki Frontale win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 65.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% |
| Kashiwa Reysol score first | 50% |
| Kawasaki Frontale score first | 45.5% |
| Kashiwa Reysol clean sheet | 23.2% |
| Kawasaki Frontale clean sheet | 16.4% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
1.2–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
1.6–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Kashima Antlers
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605846 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Kashiwa Reysol are favourites. They win 45.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.1% for the draw and 30.6% for Kawasaki Frontale. Including the draw, Kashiwa Reysol avoid defeat 69.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.1% of simulations. Kashiwa Reysol keep a clean sheet 23.2% of the time and Kawasaki Frontale 16.4%.
The simulations average 3.31 goals: 1.84 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.48 for Kawasaki Frontale. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64% and over 3.5 goals 42.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.