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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy 100,000 times. Shimizu S-Pulse won 37,035 of them (37%), the draw came up 29.4% of the time and Tokyo Verdy won 33.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.7%, while the likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win is 1-0 (10.8%). Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.
| Shimizu S-Pulse win | 37% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 29.4% |
| Tokyo Verdy win | 33.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (13.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.21 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.3% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse score first | 48.2% |
| Tokyo Verdy score first | 41.2% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet | 32.3% |
| Tokyo Verdy clean sheet | 30.1% |
Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
1.6–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Kashima Antlers
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1.8–1.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605875 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Shimizu S-Pulse are favourites. They win 37% of our 100,000 simulations, against 29.4% for the draw and 33.6% for Tokyo Verdy. Including the draw, Shimizu S-Pulse avoid defeat 66.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 13.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.8%) and 0-0 (10.5%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win is 1-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Shimizu S-Pulse keep a clean sheet 32.3% of the time and Tokyo Verdy 30.1%.
The simulations average 2.35 goals: 1.21 for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.14 for Tokyo Verdy. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.8% and over 3.5 goals 21.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.