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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama 100,000 times. Yokohama F. Marinos won 42,049 of them (42.1%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Fagiano Okayama won 31.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Yokohama F. Marinos win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations.
| Yokohama F. Marinos win | 42.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Fagiano Okayama win | 31.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.59 – 1.35 |
| Both teams to score | 59.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos score first | 57.5% |
| Fagiano Okayama score first | 36.1% |
| Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet | 26.2% |
| Fagiano Okayama clean sheet | 20.8% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
1.2–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Kashima Antlers
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1.8–1.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605618 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Yokohama F. Marinos are favourites. They win 42.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 31.8% for Fagiano Okayama. Including the draw, Yokohama F. Marinos avoid defeat 68.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Yokohama F. Marinos win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.4% of simulations. Yokohama F. Marinos keep a clean sheet 26.2% of the time and Fagiano Okayama 20.8%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 1.59 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.35 for Fagiano Okayama. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.1% and over 3.5 goals 34%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.