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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 100,000 times. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 39,754 of them (39.8%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Machida Zelvia won 33.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 1-2 (8.6%). Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Machida Zelvia win | 33.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 39.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.30 – 1.45 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.9% |
| Machida Zelvia score first | 43.4% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima score first | 48.7% |
| Machida Zelvia clean sheet | 23.8% |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet | 27.5% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
1.2–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
1.6–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Kashima Antlers
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1.8–1.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1.7–1.3
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605614 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites. They win 39.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 33.1% for Machida Zelvia. Including the draw, Sanfrecce Hiroshima avoid defeat 66.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win is 1-2 (8.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Machida Zelvia keep a clean sheet 23.8% of the time and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 27.5%.
The simulations average 2.76 goals: 1.30 for Machida Zelvia and 1.45 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 51.8% and over 3.5 goals 29.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.