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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated JEF United vs Mito Hollyhock 100,000 times. JEF United won 51,049 of them (51.1%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Mito Hollyhock won 22.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest JEF United win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations.
| JEF United win | 51.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Mito Hollyhock win | 22.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.63 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.2% |
| JEF United score first | 57.2% |
| Mito Hollyhock score first | 34.7% |
| JEF United clean sheet | 36.9% |
| Mito Hollyhock clean sheet | 20% |
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
1.2–1.1
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Yokohama F. Marinos
Fagiano Okayama
1.6–1.4
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1.7–1.1
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
FC Tokyo
Kashima Antlers
1.8–1.2
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1.8–1.5
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.3–1.5
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Vissel Kobe
Urawa Reds
1.7–1.2
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420605581 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
JEF United are favourites. They win 51.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 22.8% for Mito Hollyhock. Including the draw, JEF United avoid defeat 77.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest JEF United win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations. JEF United keep a clean sheet 36.9% of the time and Mito Hollyhock 20%.
The simulations average 2.63 goals: 1.63 for JEF United and 1.01 for Mito Hollyhock. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.8% and over 3.5 goals 27.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.