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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Swindon Town vs Rotherham United 100,000 times. Swindon Town won 45,417 of them (45.4%), the draw came up 26.2% of the time and Rotherham United won 28.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Swindon Town win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 56.4% of simulations.
| Swindon Town win | 45.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.2% |
| Rotherham United win | 28.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.60 – 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | 56.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.2% |
| Swindon Town score first | 52.3% |
| Rotherham United score first | 40.6% |
| Swindon Town clean sheet | 30% |
| Rotherham United clean sheet | 20.6% |
Newport County
Chesterfield
1.1–1.6
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Grimsby Town
York City
1.7–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Port Vale
Rochdale
1.8–0.8
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Salford City
Exeter City
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Oldham Athletic
Crawley Town
2.1–1.1
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town
Bristol Rovers
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Colchester United
Walsall
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Crewe Alexandra
Barnet
1.5–1.6
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420646823 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Swindon Town are favourites. They win 45.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.2% for the draw and 28.4% for Rotherham United. Including the draw, Swindon Town avoid defeat 71.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.4% of simulations. Swindon Town keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Rotherham United 20.6%.
The simulations average 2.82 goals: 1.60 for Swindon Town and 1.22 for Rotherham United. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.3% and over 3.5 goals 31.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.