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  1. Simulations
  2. AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool
FA Cup · 100,000 simulations

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction

We simulated AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool 100,000 times. Blackpool won 50,783 of them (50.8%), the draw came up 23.4% of the time and AFC Hornchurch won 25.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Blackpool win is 1-2 (9.4%). Both teams score in 60% of simulations.

AFC Hornchurch badge
AFC Hornchurch Hornchurch Stadium
1–2 Full time
Blackpool badge
Blackpool Away
25.8% 25,788 wins
23.4% Draw
50.8% 50,783 wins
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.85
Likeliest score
1-1 10.7% Top Blackpool win: 1-2 9.4%
Both score
60%
Over 2.5
59.6%

Full time 1-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Blackpool winning 50.8% and gave this exact score 9.4%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Harrison Blair Hornchurch Stadium, London

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool in numbers 100,000 simulations · FA Cup · Saturday 7 November, 15:00

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool simulation probabilities
AFC Hornchurch win25.8%
Draw23.4%
Blackpool win50.8%
Most likely score1-1 (10.7%)
Expected goals1.25 – 1.85
Both teams to score60%
Over 1.5 goals81.5%
Over 2.5 goals59.6%
Over 3.5 goals37.5%
AFC Hornchurch score first44.1%
Blackpool score first51.1%
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet16.2%
Blackpool clean sheet28.9%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739317
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction FAQs

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Blackpool are favourites. They win 50.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.4% for the draw and 25.8% for AFC Hornchurch. Including the draw, Blackpool avoid defeat 74.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest Blackpool win is 1-2 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Both teams score in 60% of simulations. AFC Hornchurch keep a clean sheet 16.2% of the time and Blackpool 28.9%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.25 for AFC Hornchurch and 1.85 for Blackpool. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.6% and over 3.5 goals 37.5%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.