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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Albania vs San Marino 100,000 times. Albania won 95,766 of them (95.8%), the draw came up 3.5% of the time and San Marino won 0.7%. The most likely score is 3-0 (16%), and both teams score in 18.6% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Albania winning 95.8% and gave this exact score 2.7%.
| Albania win | 95.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.5% |
| San Marino win | 0.7% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (16%) |
| Expected goals | 3.88 – 0.21 |
| Both teams to score | 18.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 57.7% |
| Albania score first | 93.7% |
| San Marino score first | 4.5% |
| Albania clean sheet | 80.9% |
| San Marino clean sheet | 2.3% |
Türkiye
Belgium
1.4–1.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Armenia
Cyprus
1.3–1.2
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Czech Republic
Spain
0.6–2.6
xG
59%
Over 2.5
England
Croatia
2.7–0.8
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Italy
France
1.3–1.8
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Albania
Finland
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Montenegro
Latvia
2.0–0.7
xG
49%
Over 2.5
San Marino
Belarus
0.4–2.7
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420693621 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Albania are favourites. They win 95.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 3.5% for the draw and 0.7% for San Marino. Including the draw, Albania avoid defeat 99.3% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 16% of simulations. Next are 4-0 (15.3%) and 2-0 (12.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 18.6% of simulations. Albania keep a clean sheet 80.9% of the time and San Marino 2.3%.
The simulations average 4.09 goals: 3.88 for Albania and 0.21 for San Marino. Over 1.5 goals lands 90.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 76.6% and over 3.5 goals 57.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.