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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Altrincham vs Notts County 100,000 times. Notts County won 53,845 of them (53.8%), the draw came up 23% of the time and Altrincham won 23.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.7%, while the likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (9.8%). Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23% and gave this exact score 5.3%.
| Altrincham win | 23.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Notts County win | 53.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.11 – 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 55.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.6% |
| Altrincham score first | 35.7% |
| Notts County score first | 58.6% |
| Altrincham clean sheet | 16.7% |
| Notts County clean sheet | 33.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420739732 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Notts County are favourites. They win 53.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23% for the draw and 23.2% for Altrincham. Including the draw, Notts County avoid defeat 76.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.7% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (9.8%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest Notts County win is 0-1 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.5% of simulations. Altrincham keep a clean sheet 16.7% of the time and Notts County 33.4%.
The simulations average 2.92 goals: 1.11 for Altrincham and 1.82 for Notts County. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.7% and over 3.5 goals 33.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.