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  1. Simulations
  2. Aluminij vs Varaždin
Club Friendlies 3 · 100,000 simulations

Aluminij vs Varaždin prediction

We simulated Aluminij vs Varaždin 100,000 times. Varaždin won 52,883 of them (52.9%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Aluminij won 23.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Varaždin win is 1-2 (9.6%). Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations.

Aluminij badge
Aluminij Športni Park Aluminij
0–0 Full time
Varaždin badge
Varaždin Away
23.3% 23,337 wins
23.8% Draw
52.9% 52,883 wins
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.82
Likeliest score
1-1 11.1% Top Varaždin win: 1-2 9.6%
Both score
56.6%
Over 2.5
56.3%

Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 23.8% and gave this exact score 5.9%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Športni Park Aluminij, Kidričevo

Aluminij vs Varaždin in numbers 100,000 simulations · Club Friendlies 3 · Friday 2 October, 09:00

Aluminij vs Varaždin simulation probabilities
Aluminij win23.3%
Draw23.8%
Varaždin win52.9%
Most likely score1-1 (11.1%)
Expected goals1.13 – 1.82
Both teams to score56.6%
Over 1.5 goals79.4%
Over 2.5 goals56.3%
Over 3.5 goals34.2%
Aluminij score first34.6%
Varaždin score first59.4%
Aluminij clean sheet16.7%
Varaždin clean sheet32.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

See the API Try it for 48 hours, £9.99 
GET /api/predictions/generate/420728857
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Aluminij vs Varaždin prediction FAQs

Who will win Aluminij vs Varaždin?

Varaždin are favourites. They win 52.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 23.3% for Aluminij. Including the draw, Varaždin avoid defeat 76.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Aluminij vs Varaždin?

1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Varaždin win is 1-2 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Aluminij vs Varaždin?

Both teams score in 56.6% of simulations. Aluminij keep a clean sheet 16.7% of the time and Varaždin 32.6%.

How many goals will there be in Aluminij vs Varaždin?

The simulations average 2.95 goals: 1.13 for Aluminij and 1.82 for Varaždin. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56.3% and over 3.5 goals 34.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.