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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz vs Mainz 05 II 100,000 times. Mainz 05 II won 36,825 of them (36.8%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz won 36%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Mainz 05 II win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations.
Full time 3-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz winning 36% and gave this exact score 4.1%.
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz win | 36% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Mainz 05 II win | 36.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.52 |
| Both teams to score | 61.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz score first | 47.1% |
| Mainz 05 II score first | 46.5% |
| Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz clean sheet | 22.3% |
| Mainz 05 II clean sheet | 22.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420608523 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mainz 05 II are favourites. They win 36.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 36% for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz. Including the draw, Mainz 05 II avoid defeat 64% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest Mainz 05 II win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.6% of simulations. Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz keep a clean sheet 22.3% of the time and Mainz 05 II 22.7%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.50 for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz and 1.52 for Mainz 05 II. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.9% and over 3.5 goals 35.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.