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  1. Simulations
  2. Benin vs Central African Republic
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Benin vs Central African Republic prediction

We simulated Benin vs Central African Republic 100,000 times. Benin won 59,341 of them (59.3%), the draw came up 25.5% of the time and Central African Republic won 15.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.9%), and both teams score in 43.3% of simulations.

Benin badge
Benin Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny
4–1 Full time
Central African Republic badge
Central African Republic Away
59.3% 59,341 wins
25.5% Draw
15.2% 15,211 wins
Expected goals
1.71 – 0.74
Likeliest score
1-0 13.9%
Both score
43.3%
Over 2.5
44.1%

Full time 4-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Benin winning 59.3% and gave this exact score 2.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan

Benin vs Central African Republic in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Thursday 12 November, 19:00

Benin vs Central African Republic simulation probabilities
Benin win59.3%
Draw25.5%
Central African Republic win15.2%
Most likely score1-0 (13.9%)
Expected goals1.71 – 0.74
Both teams to score43.3%
Over 1.5 goals70.7%
Over 2.5 goals44.1%
Over 3.5 goals23.2%
Benin score first62.7%
Central African Republic score first27.3%
Benin clean sheet47.9%
Central African Republic clean sheet18.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420728680
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Benin vs Central African Republic prediction FAQs

Who will win Benin vs Central African Republic?

Benin are favourites. They win 59.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.5% for the draw and 15.2% for Central African Republic. Including the draw, Benin avoid defeat 84.8% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Benin vs Central African Republic?

1-0, which came up in 13.9% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.5%) and 1-1 (11.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Benin vs Central African Republic?

Both teams score in 43.3% of simulations. Benin keep a clean sheet 47.9% of the time and Central African Republic 18.6%.

How many goals will there be in Benin vs Central African Republic?

The simulations average 2.45 goals: 1.71 for Benin and 0.74 for Central African Republic. Over 1.5 goals lands 70.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 44.1% and over 3.5 goals 23.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.