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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg 100,000 times. Borussia Dortmund won 75,995 of them (76%), the draw came up 14.2% of the time and Elversberg won 9.8%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.9%), and both teams score in 54.7% of simulations.
| Borussia Dortmund win | 76% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14.2% |
| Elversberg win | 9.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.76 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund score first | 67.7% |
| Elversberg score first | 29.6% |
| Borussia Dortmund clean sheet | 41.3% |
| Elversberg clean sheet | 6.7% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679113 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Borussia Dortmund are favourites. They win 76% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.2% for the draw and 9.8% for Elversberg. Including the draw, Borussia Dortmund avoid defeat 90.2% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations. Borussia Dortmund keep a clean sheet 41.3% of the time and Elversberg 6.7%.
The simulations average 3.65 goals: 2.76 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.89 for Elversberg. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.1% and over 3.5 goals 49.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.