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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen 100,000 times. VfB Stuttgart won 64,853 of them (64.9%), the draw came up 18% of the time and Werder Bremen won 17.2%. The most likely score is 2-1 (8.8%), and both teams score in 66.6% of simulations.
| VfB Stuttgart win | 64.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18% |
| Werder Bremen win | 17.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 2.59 – 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | 66.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.9% |
| VfB Stuttgart score first | 70% |
| Werder Bremen score first | 27.3% |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 28% |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 7.9% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.7–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679146 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
VfB Stuttgart are favourites. They win 64.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18% for the draw and 17.2% for Werder Bremen. Including the draw, VfB Stuttgart avoid defeat 82.8% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.5%) and 1-1 (7.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.6% of simulations. VfB Stuttgart keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Werder Bremen 7.9%.
The simulations average 3.88 goals: 2.59 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.29 for Werder Bremen. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.9% and over 3.5 goals 53.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.