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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated TSG Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04 100,000 times. TSG Hoffenheim won 61,398 of them (61.4%), the draw came up 20.1% of the time and Schalke 04 won 18.5%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.5%), and both teams score in 61.5% of simulations.
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 61.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.1% |
| Schalke 04 win | 18.5% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.26 – 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 61.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.7% |
| TSG Hoffenheim score first | 66% |
| Schalke 04 score first | 30.2% |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 31.4% |
| Schalke 04 clean sheet | 10.8% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.8–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420678945 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
TSG Hoffenheim are favourites. They win 61.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.1% for the draw and 18.5% for Schalke 04. Including the draw, TSG Hoffenheim avoid defeat 81.5% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.5% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.5% of simulations. TSG Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet 31.4% of the time and Schalke 04 10.8%.
The simulations average 3.43 goals: 2.26 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.17 for Schalke 04. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.3% and over 3.5 goals 44.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.