Dropping Odds Page Enhanced
1 Nov 2026
We continue to update core tools on the site to match our new design language, and next up is the Dropping Odds page. The table of dropping…
Simulations V2 Sign Up Fixed
30 Oct 2026
The API add-on that launched recently allowing you to add the new simulations engine to your project had a small bug impacting the sign up …
New Predictions Show Episode Live!
30 Oct 2026
Another cracking weekend ahead and founder Joe has it covered. Arsenal away at Liverpool with the hosts an incredible price for the victory…
VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
30 Oct 2026
VigShift watches the sharp market on every match. When informed money hits a price and it drops fast, you get a push within a second, with …
For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 100,000 times. Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 50,968 of them (51%), the draw came up 22.8% of the time and FC Köln won 26.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.8%, while the likeliest Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is 1-2 (9.1%). Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations.
| FC Köln win | 26.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.8% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen win | 51% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.42 – 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | 65.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 45.1% |
| FC Köln score first | 40.1% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen score first | 55.8% |
| FC Köln clean sheet | 13.5% |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen clean sheet | 24.7% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.8–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679210 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are favourites. They win 51% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.8% for the draw and 26.2% for FC Köln. Including the draw, Bayer 04 Leverkusen avoid defeat 73.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.8% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Bayer 04 Leverkusen win is 1-2 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.9% of simulations. FC Köln keep a clean sheet 13.5% of the time and Bayer 04 Leverkusen 24.7%.
The simulations average 3.45 goals: 1.42 for FC Köln and 2.03 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 66.6% and over 3.5 goals 45.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.