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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated SC Freiburg vs FC Union Berlin 100,000 times. SC Freiburg won 68,236 of them (68.2%), the draw came up 18.6% of the time and FC Union Berlin won 13.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.6%), and both teams score in 53.6% of simulations.
| SC Freiburg win | 68.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.6% |
| FC Union Berlin win | 13.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 2.31 – 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 53.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.2% |
| SC Freiburg score first | 68.7% |
| FC Union Berlin score first | 26.9% |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 40.6% |
| FC Union Berlin clean sheet | 10.3% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.8–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679122 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
SC Freiburg are favourites. They win 68.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 18.6% for the draw and 13.1% for FC Union Berlin. Including the draw, SC Freiburg avoid defeat 86.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.6% of simulations. SC Freiburg keep a clean sheet 40.6% of the time and FC Union Berlin 10.3%.
The simulations average 3.22 goals: 2.31 for SC Freiburg and 0.91 for FC Union Berlin. Over 1.5 goals lands 83% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.1% and over 3.5 goals 40.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.