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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt 100,000 times. Eintracht Frankfurt won 39,433 of them (39.4%), the draw came up 24.4% of the time and Paderborn won 36.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win is 1-2 (8.3%). Both teams score in 66.7% of simulations.
| Paderborn win | 36.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.4% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 39.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 1.73 |
| Both teams to score | 66.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.6% |
| Paderborn score first | 43.6% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt score first | 52% |
| Paderborn clean sheet | 18.2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet | 19.6% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.8–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679114 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites. They win 39.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.4% for the draw and 36.2% for Paderborn. Including the draw, Eintracht Frankfurt avoid defeat 63.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win is 1-2 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.7% of simulations. Paderborn keep a clean sheet 18.2% of the time and Eintracht Frankfurt 19.6%.
The simulations average 3.38 goals: 1.65 for Paderborn and 1.73 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.3% and over 3.5 goals 43.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.