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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 100,000 times. Hamburger SV won 42,656 of them (42.7%), the draw came up 25.8% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach won 31.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.9%, while the likeliest Hamburger SV win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 60.6% of simulations.
| Hamburger SV win | 42.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.8% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach win | 31.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 60.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.7% |
| Hamburger SV score first | 51.8% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach score first | 42.5% |
| Hamburger SV clean sheet | 25.5% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 19.9% |
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.7–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05
FC Bayern München
1.4–2.6
xG
75%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679093 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Hamburger SV are favourites. They win 42.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.8% for the draw and 31.6% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Including the draw, Hamburger SV avoid defeat 68.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 60.6% of simulations. Hamburger SV keep a clean sheet 25.5% of the time and Borussia Mönchengladbach 19.9%.
The simulations average 3.02 goals: 1.64 for Hamburger SV and 1.38 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.8% and over 3.5 goals 35.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.