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VigShift Beta Now Open on OddAlerts!
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How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München 100,000 times. FC Bayern München won 64,646 of them (64.7%), the draw came up 16.7% of the time and FSV Mainz 05 won 18.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.6%), and both teams score in 67.8% of simulations.
| FSV Mainz 05 win | 18.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.7% |
| FC Bayern München win | 64.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 2.62 |
| Both teams to score | 67.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.8% |
| FSV Mainz 05 score first | 28% |
| FC Bayern München score first | 70.4% |
| FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet | 7.7% |
| FC Bayern München clean sheet | 26.2% |
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.6–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund
Elversberg
2.8–0.9
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.7–1.7
xG
65%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
3.0–1.3
xG
80%
Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
2.6–1.3
xG
74%
Over 2.5
FC Köln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4–2.0
xG
67%
Over 2.5
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
2.3–0.9
xG
62%
Over 2.5
TSG Hoffenheim
Schalke 04
2.3–1.2
xG
66%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420679148 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Bayern München are favourites. They win 64.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.7% for the draw and 18.7% for FSV Mainz 05. Including the draw, FC Bayern München avoid defeat 81.3% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.6% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.8% of simulations. FSV Mainz 05 keep a clean sheet 7.7% of the time and FC Bayern München 26.2%.
The simulations average 3.97 goals: 1.35 for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.62 for FC Bayern München. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 75.3% and over 3.5 goals 55.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.