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Bundesliga · 100,000 simulations

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction

We simulated RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 100,000 times. RB Leipzig won 71,638 of them (71.6%), the draw came up 14.9% of the time and FC Augsburg won 13.4%. The most likely score is 2-1 (7.8%), and both teams score in 68.4% of simulations.

RB Leipzig badge
RB Leipzig Red Bull Arena
Saturday 7 November
FC Augsburg badge
FC Augsburg Away
71.6% 71,638 wins
14.9% Draw
13.4% 13,438 wins
Expected goals
3.01 – 1.28
Likeliest score
2-1 7.8%
Both score
68.4%
Over 2.5
79.7%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg lineups, team news & head to head

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg in numbers 100,000 simulations · Bundesliga · Saturday 7 November, 14:30

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg simulation probabilities
RB Leipzig win71.6%
Draw14.9%
FC Augsburg win13.4%
Most likely score2-1 (7.8%)
Expected goals3.01 – 1.28
Both teams to score68.4%
Over 1.5 goals92.6%
Over 2.5 goals79.7%
Over 3.5 goals61.8%
RB Leipzig score first68.4%
FC Augsburg score first30%
RB Leipzig clean sheet28%
FC Augsburg clean sheet5.3%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420679119
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction FAQs

Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

RB Leipzig are favourites. They win 71.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14.9% for the draw and 13.4% for FC Augsburg. Including the draw, RB Leipzig avoid defeat 86.6% of the time.

What is the most likely score in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

2-1, which came up in 7.8% of simulations. Next are 3-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

Both teams score in 68.4% of simulations. RB Leipzig keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and FC Augsburg 5.3%.

How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?

The simulations average 4.30 goals: 3.01 for RB Leipzig and 1.28 for FC Augsburg. Over 1.5 goals lands 92.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 79.7% and over 3.5 goals 61.8%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.