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Fixture Difficulty & New Time Periods Live
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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Bristol City vs Middlesbrough 100,000 times. Bristol City won 44,337 of them (44.3%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Middlesbrough won 28.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Bristol City win is 1-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Bristol City winning 44.3% and gave this exact score 9%.
| Bristol City win | 44.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Middlesbrough win | 28.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 53.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% |
| Bristol City score first | 50.3% |
| Middlesbrough score first | 41.9% |
| Bristol City clean sheet | 31.9% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 22.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/219936032 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Bristol City are favourites. They win 44.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 28.5% for Middlesbrough. Including the draw, Bristol City avoid defeat 71.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53.5% of simulations. Bristol City keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and Middlesbrough 22.7%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.50 for Bristol City and 1.15 for Middlesbrough. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.