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  1. Simulations
  2. Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · 100,000 simulations

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania prediction

We simulated Burkina Faso vs Mauritania 100,000 times. Burkina Faso won 59,585 of them (59.6%), the draw came up 26.9% of the time and Mauritania won 13.5%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.5%), and both teams score in 39.1% of simulations.

Burkina Faso badge
Burkina Faso Stade du 4 Août
Today
Mauritania badge
Mauritania Away
59.6% 59,585 wins
26.9% Draw
13.5% 13,495 wins
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.65
Likeliest score
1-0 15.5%
Both score
39.1%
Over 2.5
39.6%
Simulated 100,000 times Updated Al Hadi Mahamat Stade du 4 Août, Ouagadougou

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania in numbers 100,000 simulations · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications · Today, 16:00

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania simulation probabilities
Burkina Faso win59.6%
Draw26.9%
Mauritania win13.5%
Most likely score1-0 (15.5%)
Expected goals1.63 – 0.65
Both teams to score39.1%
Over 1.5 goals67.2%
Over 2.5 goals39.6%
Over 3.5 goals19.7%
Burkina Faso score first64.9%
Mauritania score first22.9%
Burkina Faso clean sheet52.6%
Mauritania clean sheet20.1%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
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Burkina Faso vs Mauritania prediction FAQs

Who will win Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Burkina Faso are favourites. They win 59.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.9% for the draw and 13.5% for Mauritania. Including the draw, Burkina Faso avoid defeat 86.5% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

1-0, which came up in 15.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (13.5%) and 1-1 (11.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Both teams score in 39.1% of simulations. Burkina Faso keep a clean sheet 52.6% of the time and Mauritania 20.1%.

How many goals will there be in Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

The simulations average 2.27 goals: 1.63 for Burkina Faso and 0.65 for Mauritania. Over 1.5 goals lands 67.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 39.6% and over 3.5 goals 19.7%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.