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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Cambridge United vs Northampton Town 100,000 times. Cambridge United won 55,068 of them (55.1%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Northampton Town won 21.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Cambridge United win is 1-0 (9.8%). Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations.
Full time 2-1. Before kick-off the simulations had Cambridge United winning 55.1% and gave this exact score 9.7%.
| Cambridge United win | 55.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Northampton Town win | 21.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 54.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.9% |
| Cambridge United score first | 62.1% |
| Northampton Town score first | 31.8% |
| Cambridge United clean sheet | 35.2% |
| Northampton Town clean sheet | 16.3% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420657221 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cambridge United are favourites. They win 55.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 21.3% for Northampton Town. Including the draw, Cambridge United avoid defeat 78.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest Cambridge United win is 1-0 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.7% of simulations. Cambridge United keep a clean sheet 35.2% of the time and Northampton Town 16.3%.
The simulations average 2.89 goals: 1.84 for Cambridge United and 1.05 for Northampton Town. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55% and over 3.5 goals 32.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.