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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Carlisle United vs Southend United 100,000 times. Carlisle United won 43,497 of them (43.5%), the draw came up 24.8% of the time and Southend United won 31.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Carlisle United win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations.
Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 24.8% and gave this exact score 6.3%.
| Carlisle United win | 43.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.8% |
| Southend United win | 31.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.72 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 62.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.7% |
| Carlisle United score first | 53.4% |
| Southend United score first | 41.5% |
| Carlisle United clean sheet | 24.2% |
| Southend United clean sheet | 18.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420621690 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Carlisle United are favourites. They win 43.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.8% for the draw and 31.7% for Southend United. Including the draw, Carlisle United avoid defeat 68.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.7% of simulations. Carlisle United keep a clean sheet 24.2% of the time and Southend United 18.4%.
The simulations average 3.15 goals: 1.72 for Carlisle United and 1.44 for Southend United. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 60.7% and over 3.5 goals 38.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.