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  1. Simulations
  2. Casa Pia vs Sporting CP
Liga Portugal · 100,000 simulations

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction

We simulated Casa Pia vs Sporting CP 100,000 times. Sporting CP won 73,785 of them (73.8%), the draw came up 16.5% of the time and Casa Pia won 9.8%. The most likely score is 0-2 (12.1%), and both teams score in 48.1% of simulations.

Casa Pia badge
Casa Pia Estádio Pina Manique
0–2 Full time
Sporting CP badge
Sporting CP Away
9.8% 9,758 wins
16.5% Draw
73.8% 73,785 wins
Expected goals
0.75 – 2.43
Likeliest score
0-2 12.1%
Both score
48.1%
Over 2.5
61.3%

Full time 0-2. Before kick-off the simulations had Sporting CP winning 73.8% and gave this exact score 12.1%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP in numbers 100,000 simulations · Liga Portugal · Friday 30 October, 20:15

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP simulation probabilities
Casa Pia win9.8%
Draw16.5%
Sporting CP win73.8%
Most likely score0-2 (12.1%)
Expected goals0.75 – 2.43
Both teams to score48.1%
Over 1.5 goals82.4%
Over 2.5 goals61.3%
Over 3.5 goals39.3%
Casa Pia score first18.3%
Sporting CP score first77.2%
Casa Pia clean sheet9.2%
Sporting CP clean sheet47.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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GET /api/predictions/generate/420611773
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction FAQs

Who will win Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Sporting CP are favourites. They win 73.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 16.5% for the draw and 9.8% for Casa Pia. Including the draw, Sporting CP avoid defeat 90.2% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

0-2, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.1%) and 0-3 (9.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

Both teams score in 48.1% of simulations. Casa Pia keep a clean sheet 9.2% of the time and Sporting CP 47.2%.

How many goals will there be in Casa Pia vs Sporting CP?

The simulations average 3.18 goals: 0.75 for Casa Pia and 2.43 for Sporting CP. Over 1.5 goals lands 82.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.3% and over 3.5 goals 39.3%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.