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  1. Simulations
  2. Ceuta vs Real Valladolid
La Liga 2 · 100,000 simulations

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid prediction

We simulated Ceuta vs Real Valladolid 100,000 times. Real Valladolid won 37,072 of them (37.1%), the draw came up 30.6% of the time and Ceuta won 32.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.3%, while the likeliest Real Valladolid win is 0-1 (10.5%). Both teams score in 48.3% of simulations.

Ceuta badge
Ceuta Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
1–1 Full time
Real Valladolid badge
Real Valladolid Away
32.3% 32,338 wins
30.6% Draw
37.1% 37,072 wins
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.22
Likeliest score
1-1 14.3% Top Real win: 0-1 10.5%
Both score
48.3%
Over 2.5
41.3%

Full time 1-1. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 30.6% and gave this exact score 14.3%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Saúl Ais Reig Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid in numbers 100,000 simulations · La Liga 2 · Sunday 20 September, 15:15

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid simulation probabilities
Ceuta win32.3%
Draw30.6%
Real Valladolid win37.1%
Most likely score1-1 (14.3%)
Expected goals1.12 – 1.22
Both teams to score48.3%
Over 1.5 goals68.8%
Over 2.5 goals41.3%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Ceuta score first40.2%
Real Valladolid score first48.5%
Ceuta clean sheet29.9%
Real Valladolid clean sheet33%
Football simulation API

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Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

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# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid prediction FAQs

Who will win Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

Real Valladolid are favourites. They win 37.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.6% for the draw and 32.3% for Ceuta. Including the draw, Real Valladolid avoid defeat 67.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

1-1, which came up in 14.3% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.2%) and 0-1 (10.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win is 0-1 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

Both teams score in 48.3% of simulations. Ceuta keep a clean sheet 29.9% of the time and Real Valladolid 33%.

How many goals will there be in Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

The simulations average 2.34 goals: 1.12 for Ceuta and 1.22 for Real Valladolid. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.3% and over 3.5 goals 21%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.