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EFL Trophy · 100,000 simulations

Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City prediction

We simulated Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City 100,000 times. Cheltenham Town won 37,367 of them (37.4%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Exeter City won 34.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 13.1%, while the likeliest Cheltenham Town win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations.

Cheltenham Town badge
Cheltenham Town The EV Charger Points Stadium
2–2 Full time
Exeter City badge
Exeter City Away
37.4% 37,367 wins
27.9% Draw
34.7% 34,696 wins
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.38
Likeliest score
1-1 13.1% Top Cheltenham win: 2-1 8.4%
Both score
57.9%
Over 2.5
53.2%

Full time 2-2. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 27.9% and gave this exact score 5.7%.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Emily Heaslip The EV Charger Points Stadium, Cheltenham

Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City in numbers 100,000 simulations · EFL Trophy · Tuesday 22 September, 19:00

Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City simulation probabilities
Cheltenham Town win37.4%
Draw27.9%
Exeter City win34.7%
Most likely score1-1 (13.1%)
Expected goals1.44 – 1.38
Both teams to score57.9%
Over 1.5 goals78.2%
Over 2.5 goals53.2%
Over 3.5 goals31.2%
Cheltenham Town score first49.6%
Exeter City score first42.2%
Cheltenham Town clean sheet25.6%
Exeter City clean sheet24.2%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420657213
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City prediction FAQs

Who will win Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?

Cheltenham Town are favourites. They win 37.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 34.7% for Exeter City. Including the draw, Cheltenham Town avoid defeat 65.3% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?

1-1, which came up in 13.1% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?

Both teams score in 57.9% of simulations. Cheltenham Town keep a clean sheet 25.6% of the time and Exeter City 24.2%.

How many goals will there be in Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?

The simulations average 2.81 goals: 1.44 for Cheltenham Town and 1.38 for Exeter City. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.2% and over 3.5 goals 31.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.